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Industry Outlook Report

Image for NAICS 484 - Truck Transportation from Fanshawe College's photo collection

  

Truck Transportation

NAICS 4841

This subsector comprises establishments primarily engaged in the truck transportation of goods. These establishments may carry general freight or specialized freight. Specialized freight comprises goods that, because of size, weight, shape or other inherent characteristics, require specialized equipment for transportation. Establishments may operate locally, that is within a metropolitan area and its hinterland, or over long distances, that is between metropolitan areas. Includes NAICS 4841 and 4842.

Elgin-Middlesex-Oxford (EMO)

(2017-2026)

Updated December 2018

© 2018 Elgin Middlesex Oxford Workforce Planning and Development Board

OUTLOOK: TRUCK TRANSPORTATION

A Local Snapshot

  • Employment in this industry is forecasted to increase 10.7% over the period 2017-2026.  It had decreased by 2.5% during the period 2015-2017. 
  • Average wages per job for this industry are $48,980. (as of 2017 for employees only).
  • The highest growth in new jobs for this industry between 2017 and 2026 is predicted in the other metal machine operators (44 new jobs/year) and motor vehicle assemblers, inspectors and testers (4 new jobs/year) sectors.
  • Elgin-Middlesex-Oxford has a comparative advantage: The region has 21% more jobs in the truck transportation industry than other regions in the country.
  • Employment in this industry is expected to increase by 8.5% for the period 2017-2026 at the provincial level - It had already increased by 1.2% from 2015 to 2017 at the provincial level.

Overview

Elgin-Middlesex-Oxford Jobs (2017)

6,455

2017 London, Ontario Unemployment Ratellg2

5.9%

2017 Ontario Unemployment Rate3

6.0%

2017 Canada Unemployment Rate4

6.3%

Location Quotient to Nation (2017)5

1.21

Change in Jobs (2017-2019)

3.4%

Source: EMSI 2018.3, Census Divisions Elgin-3534, Middlesex-3539, and Oxford-3532

 

SHORT AND MEDIUM TERM PROJECTIONS

Growth

Short-term

6,455

6,676

221

3.4%

2017-2019

2017 Jobs

2019 Jobs

Change 2017-2019

% Change 2017-2019

Medium-term

6,455

7,147

692

10.7%

2017-2026

2017 Jobs

2026 Jobs

Change 2017-2026

% Change 2017-2026

 

 Source: Employees and Self-Employed EMSI 2018.3

 

5 Occupations Employed by this Industry

Description (NOC)

Employed in Industry (2017)

Employed in Industry (2026)

Change (2017 - 2026)

% of Total Jobs in Industry (2017)

Transport truck drivers (7511)

4,125

4564

439

63.9%

Supervisors, motor transport and other ground transit operators (7305)

254

291

37

3.9%

Material handlers (7452)

254

289

35

3.9%

Dispatchers (1525)

250

308

58

3.9%

Managers in transportation (0731)

135

155

20

2.1%

NOTE: Inverse staffing patterns provides a table of percentages that shows how regional occupations are divided up among regional industries. Source: Employees and Self-Employed EMSI 2018.3

The National Occupational Classification (NOC) is Canada’s standard taxonomy and framework used to collect and disseminate Labour Market Information. NOC gathers more than 30,000 occupational titles into 500 Unit Groups organized according to skill levels and skill types. The version used in this report is NOC 2016 unless otherwise specified.

 

Fanshawe Educational Programs for this Industry

4

314

Programs

Completions (2016/17)

Fanshawe Program Code

Fanshawe Program

Fanshawe Completions (2016/17)

BFS2

Business Fundamentals

Fanshawe Career Coach: Business Fundamentals

52

EMT1

Emergency Telecommunications

Fanshawe Career Coach: Emergency Telecommunications

66

SCM1

Logistics and Supply Chain Management

Fanshawe Career Coach: Logistics and Supply Chain Management

119

 

Commercial Driver Training and Testing

Offered by Fanshawe Corporate Training Solutions6

 

777

 

       

 

Job Growth by Location

Map of Job Growth for NAICS 484 - Truck Transportation

 

NOTE: Census Subdivisions not shaded in have either no jobs or no job growth.

Census Division

Census Division Name

2017 Jobs

2026 Jobs

2017 - 2026 Change

2017 - 2026 % Change

3532

Oxford (in Ontario)

2,826

3,309

483

17%

3539

Middlesex (in Ontario)

2,927

3,064

137

5%

3534

Elgin (in Ontario)

702

774

72

10%

 

 

6,455

7,147

692

11%

Source: Employees and Self-Employed EMSI 2018.3

 

LONG-TERM PROJECTIONS

Canadian Occupational Projection System (COPS) – NAICS 484 long-term projections from 2017-2026 are included under the broader category of Truck and Ground Passenger Transportation Services which includes NAICS 4841-4842; and 4851-4859.8

 

LINKS TO ADDITIONAL OCCUPATIONAL INFORMATION

Statistics Canada- NAICS 484 industry information for Canada

Economic Modeling Specialists Inc. (EMSI) amalgamates information from several data sources in order to produce its occupation counts.

Contact North –Core services for students, faculty & instructors, colleges, universities, indigenous institutes, district school boards, literacy and basic skills and training providers to provide online and distance programs and courses without leaving the community, taught through 116 local learning centres.

Ontario Colleges – Information on earning a college degree, diploma, certificate or apprenticeship in Ontario.

 


Footnotes

[1] The North American Industry Classification System (NAICS) is an industry classification system developed by the statistical agencies of Canada, Mexico and the United States. Created against the background of the North American Free Trade Agreement, it is designed to provide common definitions of the industrial structure of the three countries and a common statistical framework to facilitate the analysis of the three economies. NAICS is based on supply-side or production-oriented principles, to ensure that industrial data, classified to NAICS, are suitable for the analysis of production-related issues such as industrial performance. SOURCE: https://www.statcan.gc.ca/eng/subjects/standard/naics/2017/v3/introduction

[2] Unemployment rate by metropolitan area: https://www.statista.com/statistics/442391/canada-unemployment-rate-by-metropolitan-area/

[5] Location quotient (LQ) is a way of quantifying how concentrated a particular occupation is in a region compared to the nation or province. A quotient of 1.00 means EMO has the same share of the occupation as the nation/province. A quotient higher than 1.00 means EMO has a greater share, and lower than 1.00 means EMO’s share is lower than the average (EMSI 2018.3).

[6] Four training programs offered at Fanshawe: ‘A’ Driver Training, ‘D’ Driver Training, Air Brake Endorsement ’Z’ and ‘F’ Licence Training and Testing.

[7] Numbers are for admissions, the pass rates for these courses is approximately 98%.

[8] http://occupations.esdc.gc.ca/sppc-cops/l.3bd.2t.1ils@-eng.jsp?lid=48 COPS projections use the 2016 NOC codes. Last updated October 3, 2018.

 

 

 

Should you have any further questions about the data in this report, please contact Elgin Middlesex Oxford Workforce Planning and Development Board at 519-672-3499 or info@workforcedevelopment.ca

 

 

 

  Local Employment Planning Council logo   Ontario trillium logo  
     

This project is funded in part by the Government

of Canada and the Government of Ontario.

 
  Fanshawe College logo   EMO Workforce Planning and Development Board logo  

 

The facts and opinions presented in this document do not necessarily reflect those of the Government of Ontario or the Government of Canada.

 


 

The PDF version of this report can be accessed here: NAICS 484 - Truck Transportation