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Occupation Outlook Report

Image for NOC 9612 from Fanshawe Colleges' photo collection

Labourers in Metal Fabrication

 NOC 96121

Elgin-Middlesex-Oxford (EMO)

(2018 – 2026)

 

Updated October 2019 

 

© 2018 Elgin Middlesex Oxford Workforce Planning and Development Board

 

OUTLOOK: LABOURERS IN METAL FABRICATION

A Local Snapshot

  • Employment in this occupation is forecasted to increase by 31.5% for the period 2018-2026. It had increased by 51.9% for the period 2016-2018.
  • Median hourly wage for this occupation is $17.84/hr. (as of 2018 for employees)
  • 14.4% of the 2018 jobs were in the other fabricated metal product manufacturing industry sector.
  • Elgin-Middlesex-Oxford has a comparative advantage: The region has 169% more labourers in metal fabrication than other regions in the country.
  • Employment in this occupation is expected to grow by 20.8% for the period 2018-2026 at the provincial level. It had increased from 2016 to 2018 by 19.5% at the provincial level.
  • Canada Job Bank forecasts fair employment potential for this occupation in Elgin-Middlesex-Oxford from 2018 - 2020.2
  • Cost of labour in the region is marginally above average. Median wages for labourers in metal fabrication in the region were $17.84/hr. (as of 2018 for employees). This was $0.21/hr. above the national median of $17.63/hr.

 

Overview

Elgin-Middlesex-Oxford Jobs (2018)

1,189

2018 London CMA, Unemployment Rate3

5.6%

2018 Ontario Unemployment Rate4

5.5%

2018 Canada Unemployment Rate5

5.8%

Location Quotient to Nation (2018)6

2.69

Change in Jobs (2018-2020)

12.4%

 Source: EMSI 2019.3 Census Divisions Elgin-3534, Middlesex-3539, and Oxford-3532

 

2017 Percentile Earnings

$14.38/hr

$17.84/hr

$26..62/hr

2018 10th Percentile Wages

2018 Median Wages

2018 90th Percentile Wages

 Source: Employees EMSI 2019.3

 

SHORT AND MEDIUM TERM PROJECTIONS

Job Growth

Short-term

1,189

1,337

148

12.4%

 

2018-2020

2018 Jobs

2020 Jobs

Change 2018-2020

% Change 2018-2020

Medium-term

1,189

1,449

260

21.9%

2018-2022

2018 Jobs

2022 Jobs

Change 2018-2022

% Change 2018-2022

 Source: Employees and Self-Employed EMSI 2019.3

 

Top 5 Industries Employing This Occupation

Industry (NAICS)

Occupation Jobs in Industry (2018)

% of Occupation in Industry (2018)

% of Total Jobs in Industry (2018)

 

Other fabricated metal product manufacturing (3329)

172

14.4%

11.5%

 

Motor vehicle parts manufacturing (3363)

136

11.4%

1.7%

 

Architectural and structural metals manufacturing (3323)

134

11.3%

12.4%

 

Metalworking machinery manufacturing (3335)

67

5.7%

6.0%

 

Machine shops, turned product, and screw, nut and bolt manufacturing (3327)

62

5.2%

7.7%

 

           

 Source: Employees and Self-Employed EMSI 2019.3

 NOTE: The North American Industry Classification System (NAICS) is an industry classification system developed by the statistical agencies of    Canada, Mexico and the United States against the background of the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA).  It was designed to provide common definitions of the industrial structure of the three countries.

NOTE: Inverse staffing patterns provide a table of percentages that shows how regional occupations are divided up among regional industries.

 

Fanshawe Educational Programs for this Occupation

1

Programs

Completions (2017/18)

Fanshawe Program Code

Fanshawe Program

Fanshawe Completions (2017/18)

PTP1

Parts Technician – Pre-Apprentice7

Fanshawe Career Coach: Parts Technician – Pre-Apprentice

         

 2017/18  data includes those who graduated from Fanshawe in spring 2018.

 

Job Growth by Location

Job growth map by geography

 Source: Employees and Self-Employed EMSI 2019.3

Census Division

Census Division Name

2018 Jobs

2026 Jobs

2018 - 2026 % Change

2018 - 2026 Change

3539

Middlesex

651

854

31%

203

3532

Oxford

349

474

36%

125

3534

Elgin

189

235

24%

46

 

 

1,189

1,563

31%

374

 Source: Employees and Self-Employed EMSI 2019.3

 

LONG TERM PROJECTIONS

Cumulative Job Openings and Job Seekers for the Period 2017-2026

Image for long-term projections

 COPS has combined labourers in mineral and metal processing (NOC 9611) with labours in metal fabrication (NOC 9612) as NOC 9611. COPS expects NOC 9611 to face balanced labour conditions over the period of 2017-2026 at the national level. Job openings (arising from job growth and retirements) are expected to be 100 more than job seekers (arising from school leavers and immigration).8

 

LINKS TO ADDITIONAL OCCUPATIONAL INFORMATION

Statistics Canada- NOC 9612 occupation information for Canada

Ministry of Training, Colleges and Universities – NOC 9612 labour market information and statistics including work trends and the skills, education and training needed for jobs today, and in the future.

Economic Modeling Specialists Inc. (EMSI) amalgamates information from several data sources in order to produce its occupation counts.

Contact North –Core services for students, faculty & instructors, colleges, universities, indigenous institutes, district school boards, literacy and basic skills and training providers to provide online and distance programs and courses without leaving the community, taught through 116 local learning centres.

Ontario Colleges – Information on earning a college degree, diploma, certificate or apprenticeship in Ontario.

 

 

Should you have any further questions about the data in this report, please contact Elgin Middlesex Oxford Workforce Planning and Development Board at 519-672-3499 or info@workforcedevelopment.ca

 

 

         
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This project is funded in part by the Government of Canada and the Government of Ontario.

The facts and opinions presented in this document do not necessarily reflect those of the Government of Ontario or the Government of Canada.

 


Footnotes

(1.) The National Occupational Classification (NOC) is the nationally accepted reference on occupations in Canada. It organizes over 40,000 job titles into 500 occupational group descriptions. It is used daily by thousands of people to compile, analyze and communicate information about occupations, and to understand the jobs found throughout Canada's labour market. (esdc.gc.ca) The version used in this report is NOC 2011 unless otherwise specified.

(2.) Job Bank Canada. Source: https://www.jobbank.gc.ca/outlookreport/occupation/24111 last updated: September 18,, 2019.

(3.) Statistics Canada https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/t1/tbl1/en/tv.action?pid=1410009001 last updated May 13, 2019

(4.) Statistics Canadahttps://www150.statcan.gc.ca/t1/tbl1/en/tv.action?pid=1410009001 last updated May 13, 2019

(5.) Statistics Canadahttps://www150.statcan.gc.ca/t1/tbl1/en/tv.action?pid=1410009001 last updated May 13, 2019

(6.) Location quotient (LQ) is a way of quantifying how concentrated a particular occupation is in a region compared to the nation or province. A quotient of 1.00 means EMO has the same share of the occupation as the nation/province. A quotient higher than 1.00 means EMO has a greater share, and lower than 1.00 means EMO’s share is lower than the average (EMSI 2018.1).

(7.) Fanshawe doesn’t store grad rates for Apprentice programs

(8.) Canadian Occupational Projection System (COPS) http://occupations.esdc.gc.ca/sppc-cops/occupationsummarydetail.jsp?&tid=30 last updated; October 3, 2017.